Tuesday 9 October 2012
(Photo: SpaceX confirmed in a statement this afternoon that the failed engine did not explode, but rather lost pressure and immediately shut down. "Our review indicates that the fairing that protects the engine from aerodynamic loads ruptured due to the engine pressure release, and that none of Falcon 9’s other eight engines were impacted by this event," the company said. We'll have more information about the mission soon. )
Tuesday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time): . Larry Kudlow, in re:Obama.comis owned by Robert Roche - URL is redirected to https://contribute.
Tuesday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time): . John Fund, American Spectator, in re: Parsing the plethora of polls: are the seesawing numbers reliable? Check average of polls on RealClearPolitics.com., . Pew poll –O 49, R 47 – could be significant. Rasmussen and Pew are most accurate. Swing states: Romney is surging in battleground states, incl Michigan and Pennsylvania. Check also Minnesota; Wisconsin is tied. Dems were playing offense in states that were likely to go Republican in an ordinary year, no have no fallback. There's time for them to go into a bunker and make sure they get the needed electoral votes. A rising Romney lifts all Republican candidates. People pouring into republican HQ offering to help. Missouri may not like Aiken, but may vote for him anyway . . . Obama thought he did well in the debate, was prepared only for a Marquis of Queensbury discussion. Idealist independents: Obama owned them in 2008, but their hope and change has shifted to negative . Joe Biden has been kept in his cell preparing for the debate for six days, an unheard-of length of time.
Tuesday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time): . Gregory Zuckerman, WSJ, in re: With the political conventions over and the presidential election now just two months away, investors are re-examining their portfolios. Some sectors and stocks figure to do well if President Obama is re-elected, while others should benefit if challenger Republican Mitt Romney moves into the White House. But some caution that it may be tougher than usual to predict the outcome of this election, let alone figure out how to make money from the results. Indeed, some Wall Street pros detect more caution than in some past years among investors playing the election game. James Bianco, who runs trading and research firm Bianco Research in Chicago, says financial markets aren't yet placing big bets on either President Obama or Mr. Romney. He cites polls and the popular online prediction market Intrade showing the candidates neck and neck. Conventional wisdom holds that the stock market does well when a Republican wins. Presidents from the GOP tend to favor lower taxes and less spending, analysts say. Some go as far as to say the stock market's strength this year comes as Mr. Romney's chances of victory have improved. If Obama wins, will we automatically fall off the fiscal cliff, or will the market bet that a deal will be made? Fifteen per cent GDP diminution if we go over the fiscal cliff? Schumer put a knife into a compromise: at press conf, said, "We have to raise taxes on the upper brackets." Most investors are relatively moderate – want to cut expenses a bit and raise taxes a bit.
Tuesday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time): . John McLaughlin, mclaughlinonline.com, in Tampa, Florida, in re: Why Mitt Romney won’t win the post-debate swing state polls: five- to 6-pt bounce in Romney's favor after debate; affects Richard Mourdoch, too. Dem consultants comment. Almost 70 mil people watched the debate. Florida numbers have Romney slightly ahead; early absentee ballots requested by voters are plus-4 Republican. Florida real estate is down, unemployment is up; also a strong Cuban Republican vote, and Jewish voters are crossing over. Connecticut: Linda McMahon is ahead, apparently. Dems spending a fortune – enormous TV in New Haven and Hartford – vs McMahon; authorized by Harry Reid. Mass: Scott may be re-elected. I think it's coming down to Ohio. Romney's going to have to keep this momentum – 5 or 6 points on average – he can win these states. Message we saw last week has to be replayed in the VP debate and he subsequent presidential debate. Growth, creating jobs making Arica strong again – optimism – and Barak Obama was exposed: uninterested – but he fact is he doesn’t know the facts. This was The Amateur on display. His prescriptions are all wrong.
"Tonight Mitt Romney could give the most effective debate performance since Ronald Reagan outdebated President Carter, or even since Abraham Lincoln showed up Stephen Douglas, and Mitt Romney will still lose the post debate swing state polls. Why? Because the voter samples that the media pollsters will call are already stacked to favor Democrats over Republicans. It's almost like a 1970's Olympics where the Soviets have the East Germans as judges and referees. There's just no way Mitt Romney can win these polls. Let's look at the recent reality of actual voter registration and data in the most critical swing states and then compare them to the most recent media polls in each state. Florida actually lists party registration for their 11.6 million registered voters. 4.6 million voters, or 40%, are Democrats, and 4.2 million voters, or 36%, are Republicans. When over 8 million Floridians vote this year, it will probably be close to the actual registration. Florida's most recent exit poll history shows that the average partisan total for the last 4 statewide elections, including the last 2 presidential elections, is: Democrats 37% and Republicans 38%. 2004 Democrat 37% Republican 41%. 2006 Democrat 36% Republican 39%. 2008 Democrat 37% Republican 34%. 2010 Democrat 36% Republican 36%."
Tuesday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): . Larry Johnson, No Quarter, in re: September 12, 2012 – a day that lives in infamy. In Benghazi, the safe house was betrayed by Amb Stevens's guards. This is how the O A deals with al Qaeda, the cutthroats of Cyrenaica, with ____. What did State know and when before Amb Susan Rice to the UN went on natl TV on 16 Sept to present a story that is now widely understood to be fiction. Several critical names in the continuing investigation of murder of the ambassador: two American SEALs and ___. Commander of the Site Security Team – platoon-size element detailed to AFRICOM and the embassy to help provide security. Such stations always have an airplane because you cna't take loaded weapons on a commercial aircraft. Patrick Kennedy, Undersecy of Mgt, refused to let Benghazi have that plane. He's also the one who’s helped name the Accountability Review Board that will investigate this matter. Direct conflict of interest. This was a high-threat post, but State – Patrick Kennedy – rejected requests for security. Teams were pulled in August, as was the SST. This was not an intell failure – it was a massive failure of policy because the policymakers ignored the intelligence. Who is Lt-Col Andy Wood? Said he met daily with Amb Stevens, said that security there was a constant challenge. The video that Amb Rice used to explain the murder was not in any respect relevant. State – Clinton and Kennedy – rejected recommendations of their own officers to increase security. Then the WH jumped in to claim that the demonstrations were spontaneous – a lie. Tonight two "senior State officials" on phone with the press said that the murder and its planning were no way spontaneous – that it was a planned al Qaeda attack and, in effect, the White House generated fraud. The rats are heading for the lifeboats. It may be that Secy Clinton will have to resign before the election.
Obama Names Fox to Guard Libyan Henhouse - The lies and deceit of the Obama Administration are Nixonesque. And the facts are trickling out to expose how President Obama and Secretary of State Clinton are trying to cover up the debacle in Libya that left the U.S. consulate sacked, the CIA base destroyed and our Ambassador and three CIA employees dead.
Tuesday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): . Satyajit Das, Australia, in re:
Tuesday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): . Melik Kaylan, Newsweek Intl & WSJ, in re: Georgia & Turkey. The billionaire soccer fan Ivanishvili met Saakashvili today: strained, awkward. Ivanishvili spoke of turning West – expanding westward – and coordinating with NATO. He wants to avoid being seen as a Russian plant. . . . Caveat: the Arab Street may react to a revival of Turkish nationalism, of an incipient Ottoman Empire II.
Tuesday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): . Ann Marlowe, in re: Libya. There's a Libyan brigade of a thousand men in Syria right now: recruited, trained, armed and sent by CIA – which was the focus of al Qaeda when it killed the US ambassador, the Navy SEALs, and some State staff. Benghazi was the cauldron of the rebellion. Well-dressed, attractive men of military bearing stayed in Ann Marlowe's hotel earlier in the year; their names were "Peter" and "John." High-level State Dept staff are gainsaying the lies of Susan Rice and the Secretary; likely Congressional investigation. Let the Secretary resign.
Mohammed al-Senussi says that Benghazi is generally tranquil. With no police, if anyone decides to shoot you, there's no one to turn to. ("This called "lawless.") A great deal of ex-regime money is coming in from the East – from Egypt. Libya would like to extradite. Benghazi's incipient democracy is being undermined by people from the old regime.
Tuesday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): . Aaron Klein, in re: Israel elections called early. Hamas and West Bank.
Tuesday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): . Aaron Klein, in re: Hezbollah threat from Lebanon; also Syria threat, and the Turkish-Syrian sitrep and threat of rockets on Israel
Tuesday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): . Bob Zimmerman, behind the black, in re: Space X, the engine fail, the first scoop of dust on Mars, Voyager 1 leaves Solar System?
Tuesday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): . Reza Kahlili, in re: Iranian secret nuke site under medicine factory.
Tuesday/Wed 1205A (905 Pacific Time): Larry Kudlow, in re:Obama.comis owned by Robert Roach - URL is redirected to https://contribute.
Tuesday/Wed 1220A (920 Pacific Time): . John Fund, American Spectator, in re: Parsing the plethora of polls: are the seesawing numbers reliable? Check average of polls on RealClearPolitics.com., . Pew poll –O 49, R 47 – could be significant. Rasmussen and Pew are most accurate. Swing states: Romney is surging in battleground states, incl Michigan and Pennsylvania. Check also Minnesota; Wisconsin is tied. Dems were playing offense in states that were likely to go Republican in an ordinary year, no have no fallback. There's time for them to go into a bunker and make sure they get the needed electoral votes. A rising Romney lifts all Republican candidates. People pouring into republican HQ offering to help. Missouri may not like Aiken, but may vote for him anyway . . . Obama thought he did well in the debate, was prepared only for a Marquis of Queensbury discussion. Idealist independents: Obama owned them in 2008, but their hope and change has shifted to negative . Joe Biden has been kept in his cell preparing for the debate for six days, an unheard-of length of time.
Tuesday/Wed 1235A (935P Pacific Time): . . John McLaughlin, mclaughlinonline.com, in Tampa, Florida, in re: Why Mitt Romney won’t win the post-debate swing state polls: five- to 6-pt bounce in Romney's favor after debate; affects Richard Mourdoch, too. Dem consultants comment. Almost 70 mil people watched the debate. Florida numbers have Romney slightly ahead; early absentee ballots requested by voters are plus-4 Republican. Florida real estate is down, unemployment is up; also a strong Cuban Republican vote, and Jewish voters are crossing over. Connecticut: Linda McMahon is ahead, apparently. Dems spending a fortune – enormous TV in New Haven and Hartford – vs McMahon; authorized by Harry Reid. Mass: Scott may be re-elected. I think it's coming down to Ohio. Romney's going to have to keep this momentum – 5 or 6 points on average – he can win these states. Message we saw last week has to be replayed in the VP debate and he subsequent presidential debate. Growth, creating jobs making Arica strong again – optimism – and Barak Obama was exposed: uninterested – but he fact is he doesn’t know the facts. This was The Amateur on display. His prescriptions are all wrong.
"Tonight Mitt Romney could give the most effective debate performance since Ronald Reagan outdebated President Carter, or even since Abraham Lincoln showed up Stephen Douglas, and Mitt Romney will still lose the post debate swing state polls. Why? Because the voter samples that the media pollsters will call are already stacked to favor Democrats over Republicans. It's almost like a 1970's Olympics where the Soviets have the East Germans as judges and referees. There's just no way Mitt Romney can win these polls. Let's look at the recent reality of actual voter registration and data in the most critical swing states and then compare them to the most recent media polls in each state. Florida actually lists party registration for their 11.6 million registered voters. 4.6 million voters, or 40%, are Democrats, and 4.2 million voters, or 36%, are Republicans. When over 8 million Floridians vote this year, it will probably be close to the actual registration. Florida's most recent exit poll history shows that the average partisan total for the last 4 statewide elections, including the last 2 presidential elections, is: Democrats 37% and Republicans 38%. 2004 Democrat 37% Republican 41%. 2006 Democrat 36% Republican 39%. 2008 Democrat 37% Republican 34%. 2010 Democrat 36% Republican 36%."
Tuesday/Wed 1250A (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. Annie Lowery, NYT, in re: IMF downgrades the planet for 2013.
Music (according to New York City broadcast times): 9 hour: Last of the Mohicans, The Ghost Writer; 10 hour: Call of Duty, Black Ops; 11 hour: The Expendables, Star Trek; 12 hour: Last of the Mohicans, The Ghost Writer, The Expendables