The John Batchelor Show

Tuesday 8 September 2015

Air Date: 
September 08, 2015

Photo, left: Wars around the world (list).  See: Michael Ledeen, FDD, Hour 3, Block D: 
WARS (1000+ battle-related deaths in year):
Syria
Iraq
Afghanistan
Pakistan
Nigeria
Ukraine
South Sudan
Israel/Gaza
Somalia
Yemen
SERIOUS ARMED CONFLICTS (200-999 battle-deaths in year, 200 being my own cutoff)
India
Uganda
Libya
Sudan
Egypt
OTHER ARMED CONFLICTS (fewer than 200 battle-deaths in year)
Algeria
Azerbaijan
Colombia
D.R. Congo
Ethiopia
Lebanon
Mali
Mozambique
Burma (Myanmar)
Pakistan
Philippines
Russia
Thailand
Turkey
United States (global war on terror)
JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW
Co-hosts: Larry Kudlow, CNBC senior advisor; & Cumulus Media radio.  Steve Moore, Heritage Society chief economist.
 
Hour One
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 1, Block A: Steve Moore, in re:  LK: I want to contrast what I call statesmen – Democrats voting for the Iran deal for well-formulated reasons, against the party hacks, such as Blumenthal [United States Senator Richard Blumenthal] today announcing that he'll support the Vienna Accords/Iran deal..  Iran gets to self-police, will get $150 billion to the Quds and IRCG, to be used to kill yet ore America soldiers – whom they've been killing for years. We need a citizens's movement to oppose this – and I've never run for anything I my life, not even class president – but we need to do something. Blumenthal is a left liberal in a deep blue state. I want supply-side, flat tax, strong dollar. Connecticut has been ruined by Gov Dan Malloy and Blumenthal. I'm edging closer to running; need to keep perspective.  The jobs report: 140 K is lowest in five months.  I prefer the Fed not raise the rate; or, if so, 1/8 of a point.  Anyone who believes the unemployment rate is actually 5.1% is smoking some of the Colorado THC. 
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 1, Block B: Steve Moore, in re: Today Steve Moore, Steve Forbes and Larry Kudlow met with Jeb Bush; his business growth plan is excellent; on the personal side, not quite as much.  The animating feature of his campaign has been 4% growth.  Liberal economists say that's impossible – but in fact it's highly achievable; probably 5%. That'd be $2 trillion additional over four years.  That covers a lot of expenditures.  Bush's goal is to get rd of crony capitalism.  Gov Christie also will lower marginal tax rates for individuals and bz. Sen Rubio . . .   The GOP is a supply-side Reaganite Party today.    Ben Carson said 10% ___ tax.  Meanwhile, Democrats – Clinton Biden, Obama, Sanders  - say "raise rates."   Did Paul Krugman endorse the businessman from New York??  I disagree
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 1, Block C: John E McLaughlin, McLaughlin polling, in re: 69% of voters (48 to 38 favored by Democrats) believe the US Congress should be required to vote on the Iran deal. Only 22% say to let it go into effect without a vote.  Did the poll jointly with Patrick Cadell, a Democrat. Across the board demographically and politically: We don't like Iran for a dozen specific reasons. This deal refinances Iran to kill more American soldiers – this time, with nuclear weapons, Their total economy is just over $400 billion.  Israelis are agape: they support Hamas and Hezbollah, were responsible for last summer's rockets into Israel, are determined to obliterate our country; Pres Obama is supporting this? Sen McConnell has promised a full three-day debate.  White House threatening people with retribution over the weekend.   We asked people about, "Do you think the pres is telling you all the facts or only what advances his argument?" – all, massively incl Dems, said the latter. Suppose the Dems lost Nevada (Reid supports the deal), and other states, then Blumenthal actually could use. When Pres Obama passed Obamacare, he broke the healthcare system and so owns it. Now, we're looking at the actual physical security of the nation. Joe Lieberman: strong on natl defense; such Democrats – 35 to 40% of the party – may find that Dem seats are up for grabs. Any misdeed reported from./by Iran in the next 16 mos will be attributed to Pres Obama.  Iran has been killing US soldiers since 1983 when 250 American soldiers died in Lebanon; then the Khobar Towers in Saudi. 
----"Americans are smart, not stupid." 64% oppose giving Iran 24 days in which to decide whether or not to admit IAEA.; as for Iran inspecting its own site, 88% said NO. 
         Only 34% of all voters support a veto. Even 25% of the Democrats want an override vote. “If a majority of Senators and Congressmen vote against the Iran deal and President Obama vetoes the legislation, should your congressional representative support the President’s veto or vote to override the veto?”
 Only 27% want their representatives to vote in favor of the deal that gives Iran 24 days inspection notice. 64% say no. 42% of the Democrats say no.  “Should your Congressional representatives vote in favor of an Iran deal that gives Iran 24 days notice before inspections of its nuclear labs can take place?”
 Only 7% say Congress should approve a deal that allows Iran to inspect their own sites without the direct supervision of any international inspectors. 88% said no including 79% among Democrats.  “Should Congress approve a deal that allows Iran to inspect their own nuclear sites without the direct supervision of any international inspectors?
 If their Senators and Congressman support the deal, 54% say that they will NOT vote for them again in the future. Only 29% said they would. Among Democrats 36% say that they will NOT vote for them again. Only 45% say that they would.  “Recent polls have shown that the American people strongly oppose the deal with Iran. If your Senators and Congressman nonetheless support the Iran deal would you ever vote for him or her again in the future?” 
 65% say that it is important Congress votes on the Iran deal and if their senators tried to stop a vote in Congress they would never vote for them again. Only 24% say that it is unnecessary to vote. Among Democrats they say that it is important Congress votes 45%; unnecessary 41%.
“All things being equal with whom do you agree more...? Some who say that President Obama has enough votes in Congress and the support of the U.N. that it is unnecessary to have a vote in Congress on the deal. OR, Others who say that it is so important that the representatives of the American people vote on this most serious issue that if their Senators tried to stop a vote in Congress they would never vote for them again?” 
 78% to 8%: not give Iran 24 days in which to decide whether or not to admit IAEA.  Democrats, Republicans and independents all say that if their senator votes in favor of the deal, they'll never vote for him again. 
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 1, Block D: Steve Moore, in re: Too much regulation by Obama – and a tax code that's rotten and chasing jobs out of the country.  Friedman 60 years ago: monetary policy has no lasting effect on the economy.  As for the Fed, I'd wait a little more. A compromise: 1/8% and be done for six months.  I'm a little worried about the economy – no snap-back, and zero inflation.  If you look at the indexes – they're falling, down 15-20% in the last year. Some of it is China, and the US not as strong, and nothing in Europe. Deflation means prices fall . . .  People were projecting the 10-yr bond at 3%, but it's at 2+%.  The real economy and inflation are slower than expected. If the Fed raises target rate by ¼ [25 bps], and the interest rates decline, that's a bad bad sign.  Markets tell stories. 
Hour Two
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 2, Block A: Stephen F. Cohen, NYU & Princeton professor Emeritus; author: Soviet Fates and Lost Alternatives: From Stalinism to the New Cold War, & The Victims Return: Survivors of the Gulag after Stalin; in re: Christine Lagarde looking for a haircut for Ukraine; major weapons systems being entertained by the West and Russia, incl nuke drones.  Putin in Beijing: the DongFeng (East Wind) carrier-killer that travels 500 to 1,000 miles to sink US carriers in the Pacific. Hollande is losing his patience with Poroshenko, and probably Merkel, as well.  The primary nonimplementor of Minsk II today is Poroshenko. Europe is groaning under countersanctions enacted by Russia, esp in agriculture When Poroshnenko makes speeches about depriving Russia of its veto at the UN, he doesn't even know how the Security Council works.  Nikolai Petro of Rhode Island: Ukraine cannot survive economically without Russia – Ukraine's greatest trading partner, and is almost totally dependent on Russia for energy.   
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 2, Block B: Stephen F. Cohen, NYU & Princeton professor Emeritus; and author; in re: The Medvedev of 2011-2013 was a "political victim." Prime ministers in modern Russia are usually divided into the "political" (those of the Yeltsin period, as well as Mikhail Kasyanov) and the "technical" (Mikhail Fradkov, Viktor Zubkov). Medvedev fitted into neither category. 
Medvedev was "technical" in that he was expected to forfeit the right of second-in-command in making decisions regarding policy and staff appointments to the presidential administration. He was also a political prime minister. He had after all been president of Russia for four years with all the accompanying electoral legitimacy, political mandate and direct involvement in world politics.
In September 2011, Medvedev's independence began to decline rapidly, as he was publicly lambasted for the performance of the government. 
The Putin-Medvedev relationship—dry and somewhat cool—was based on the model of boss–employee. Putin criticized ministers in public, threatened to "take measures" and to take matters into his own hands. Reports of Putin's strong irritation with Medvedev's government were leaked to the media, which broadcast anti-Medvedev documentaries—The Lost Day (about the war in Georgia) and Playing to Lose (accusing Medvedev of pre-Western policies).
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 2, Block C: Stephen F. Cohen, NYU & Princeton professor Emeritus; and author; in re: #Russia Building Nuclear-Armed Drone Submarine freebeacon.com/national-secur… pic.twitter.com/h931g3QKeK   
Russia is building a drone submarine to deliver large-scale nuclear weapons against U.S. harbors and coastal cities, according to Pentagon officials.
The developmental unmanned underwater vehicle, or UUV, when deployed, will be equipped with megaton-class warheads capable of blowing up key ports used by U.S. nuclear missile submarines, such as Kings Bay, Ga., and Puget Sound in Washington state.
Details of the secret Russian nuclear UUV program remain closely held within the U.S. government.
The Pentagon, however, has code-named the drone “Kanyon,” an indication that the weapon is a structured Russian arms program.
The nuclear drone submarine is further evidence of what officials say is an aggressive strategic nuclear forces modernization under President Vladimir Putin. The building is taking place as the Obama administration has sought to reduce the role of nuclear arms in U.S. defenses and to rely on a smaller nuclear force for deterrence. http://www.defenseone.com/news/2015/09/ukraine-aims-rebuild-navy/120173/?oref=defenseone_today_nl
Putin jockeying for deal with US on Syria / http://t.co/Ti2vn8n5QL  ;   https://twitter.com/TimesofIsrael/status/641097515983437824
Observers in Moscow say the Russian maneuvering could be part of a plan to send troops to Syria to fight the Islamic State group in the hope of fixing fractured ties with the West. They warn, however, that Putin would likely find it hard to sell his idea to a skeptical US and risks potentially catastrophic repercussions if he opts for unilateral military action in Syria. dfp adslot
By playing with the possibility of joining the anti-IS coalition, Putin may hope to win a few key concessions. His main goal: the lifting of Western sanctions and the normalization of relations with the United States and the European Union, which have sunk to their lowest point since the Cold War amid the Ukrainian crisis. In addition, the Russian leader may be angling to make the West more receptive to Moscow’s involvement in Ukraine, while retaining influence in Syria.
"Russia's leaders have concluded that the European system is both vulnerable & unjust" atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/natosour… Russia pic.twitter.com/kJAv1SjDyr
Russia's leadership wants a Europe without strategic Alliances, without multi-national organizations and without a U.S.-Europe Transatlantic link that can through collective policies and action offset the national strengths Russia would hold over any one European nation. It would be a European security environment that would allow Russia to apply its national strengths to great effect without challenge and competition—enhancing its power abroad and at home.
This is the end-state of Putin's strategy, and it requires changing the European security system—the rules of the game—to sustain Russia's capability to compete with Europe and other regional powers poles outside Europe. Conversely, the policy strictly seeks to freeze the political rules of the game inside Russia, and end meaningful political competition at home. Russia's leaders have concluded that the European system is both vulnerable and unjust.
In the Russian view, the European security system is vulnerable because it is weakened by a diffusion of global power, political devolution, sapped of economic wealth and attacked by forces of disorder in other parts of the world. Putin also has concluded that the current European security system is unjust because it confines and restricts Russia's ability to exercise her inherent national strengths, inflicting a modern form of multi-dimensional, multi-level strategic encirclement of Russia.
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 2, Block D: Stephen F. Cohen, NYU & Princeton professor Emeritus; and author; in re: http://euromaidanpress.com/2015/09/07/ukrainian-president-says-russia-should-lose-its-un-security-council-veto/   President Petro Poroshenko said in a Voice of America interview on Friday that Russia should lose its veto power in the UN Security Council because of its aggressive actions against Ukraine, arguing that the world would be a safer place if Moscow could not veto resolutions it doesn’t like.
At the same time, Poroshenko, whose government has just modified its national security doctrine to identify Russia as an enemy and to declare Kyiv’s intention of seeking NATO membership, said that Russia as a major power should retain its permanent seat on that body.
Hour Three
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 3, Block A:   Salena Zito, Pitsburgh Tribune-Review, in re:  Joe Biden contemplates running for the presidency, gets thrilling reception in Pittsburgh, shows happiness. http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/lid-joe-biden-catching-fire-n423696
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 3, Block B: Salena Zito, Pitsburgh Tribune-Review, in re:  CLEVELAND--From a distance, the visual of students lining up along Bellflower Road in this Rust Belt city's University Circle neighborhood was good B-roll for Hillary Clinton's campaign, seemingly showcasing her appeal to young people.
It also was an opportunity to claim she was building a firewall of supporters for Ohio's March primary, should Joe Biden step in or Bernie Sanders catch up in a meaningful way. That initial impression was quickly dispelled.
What looked like a block-long line turned out to be a crowd that could barely fill one-fourth of a football field. And the students in attendance? Well, they weren't exactly there to support the former secretary of State.
“I am sort of a Bernie [Sanders] fan. I also had nothing else to do at 10 in the morning,” said Brian Miller, a chemical engineering student from . . . click here for link
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 3, Block C:   Charles K Ortel, charlesortel.com, in re: False philanthropy.  Second Interim Report Concerning Public Disclosures of
The Bill, Hillary & Chelsea Clinton Foundation, EXECUTIVE SUMMARY  (Important Disclaimer  Information concerning the Bill, Hillary & Chelsea Clinton Foundation (the “Clinton Foundation”)  that is analyzed in this Second Interim Report (the “Second Foundation Report”) is derived only from publicly available primary and secondary sources. No attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of underlying source material; however, every reasonable effort has been made to direct readers to public filings and other documents evaluated and mentioned in the Second Foundation Report. The analysis contained herein, together with accompanying Tables, Exhibits, and Appendices, does not constitute expert advice of any kind, whether legal, financial, accounting, policy, or otherwise. Readers are urged to evaluate relevant publicly available facts about the Clinton Foundation, in appropriate context, and to form their own independently derived conclusions.)
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 3, Block D:  Michael Ledeen FDD, in re:  The president claims that we need to accept and approve his deal with Iran "or we'll have war."  What?  We're already in wars: Iraq, south and west; ISIS; Syria, Turkey, Hezbollah, Hamas, Sinai, Yemen, Libya, Algeria, Chad, Niger, Nigeria, Central African Republic, Sudan, Somalia, northern Kenya, et al.; Iran's working partners of long standing: North Korea, China, Pakistan, Venezuela, all vocifeously aim to destroy the United States. 
         The War Games  War is instead described by the Democrats as A Very Bad Thing that would happen if Congress didn’t follow President Obama’s orders. Can’t anybody around here play this war game?  Russia is sending troops into Syria, alongside the Iranian forces that have been fighting long since, to shore up the Assad regime.  The Iranians are convincingly accused of creating terror cells in Kuwait and Thailand and waging cyberwar and conventional terror attacks against Saudi Arabia.  We know that Iran organized a scheme to blow up a restaurant in Washington, another to bomb a passenger train between Canada and the U.S., and yet another to destroy Kennedy Airport.
They are all acts of war.  Yet, the president and his followers insist that if there is no deal with Iran, “the only alternative is war.” You’d think a blind man could see that the war was on, but no.  War is instead described– . . . Don’t expect any political breakthroughs.  The “peace” talk is classic disinformation.  Just ask the millions of refugees, who know the war is on and are running from it.
Hour Four
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 4, Block A: 81 Days Below Zero: The Incredible Survival Story of a World War II Pilot in Alaska's Frozen Wilderness, by Brian Murphy (1 of 4)
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 4, Block B: 81 Days Below Zero: The Incredible Survival Story of a World War II Pilot in Alaska's Frozen Wilderness, by Brian Murphy (2 of 4)
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 4, Block C: 81 Days Below Zero: The Incredible Survival Story of a World War II Pilot in Alaska's Frozen Wilderness, by Brian Murphy (3 of 4)
Tuesday 8 September 2015 / Hour 4, Block D: 81 Days Below Zero: The Incredible Survival Story of a World War II Pilot in Alaska's Frozen Wilderness, by Brian Murphy (4 of 4)
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