Monday 13 June 2016
Photo, left:
JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW
Co-host: Thaddeus McCotter, WJR, The Great Voice of the Great Lakes
Hour One
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 1, Block A: Tom Joscelyn, Long War Journal senior editor & FDD, and Bill Roggio, Long War Journal senior editor & FDD, in re: Omar Mateen, interviewed two or three times by the FBI, praised a variety of terrorist organization ns, some at sixes and sevens to each other; seemed to be searching to a personal ID. An aide to the head of ISIS issued a statement. Any connection to Taliban? No. Father seems to be aggressive and odd in his public statements. Linkage to Khorasan, and the Pashtun territory? Nope, nothing specific. He tried to ally himself with ISIS in some form, but no signs that he actually had contact. / Turkestan Islamic party: ISIS seems to have peaked last year; TIP , Abdul al Haqq _, was in the Shura. Speaks of Islamic Movement for Uzbekistan: made an error in joining ISIS and now barely exists.
LongWarJournal: Islamic State news agency says Orlando massacre the work of its ‘fighter’ Amaq News Agency, a propaganda arm of the Islamic State, says that one of the group's fighters was responsible for the mass shooting in Orlando, Florida.
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 1, Block B: Tom Joscelyn, Long War Journal senior editor & FDD, and Bill Roggio, Long War Journal senior editor & FDD, in re: ISIS in retreat. Plan to make Sirte the ISIS falback position in case Raqqah doesn't work. ISIS has been under assault from Misrata, lay siege to the ISIS city. Incoming militia fighter have air support from the UN-back version of the Libyan govt. Now it looks as though ISIS fighters are besieged within the city of Sirte: Egyptians, Tunesians, Moroccans. Sirte was a project of he mother ship; it ain’t working out too well. North Africa has produced a huge proportion of ISIS fighters. Al Qaeda was planted in Derna, well to the east. Al Qthe strategic actor here, hiding its hand. After Libya, Sinai is ISISI’s most important province; but if they actually lose Sirte and can't claim it as an arm of its so-called caliphate, then ISIS is in trouble. / Iraqi Popular Mobilization –the Iraqi al Quds Force? - -
Islamic State news agency says Orlando massacre the work of its ‘fighter’ Amaq News Agency, a propaganda arm of the Islamic State, says that one of the group's fighters was responsible for the mass shooting in Orlando, Florida.
Islamic State details activity in the Philippines The infographic gives information on how many Filipino troops have been killed in Islamic State operations and how many "fighting battalions" it has in the country.
Ayman al Zawahiri swears allegiance to the Taliban’s new leader Ayman al Zawahiri has sworn allegiance to the Taliban's new leader, Mullah Haibatullah. Zawahiri's oath of bay'ah continues a tradition of al Qaeda's leaders swearing their fealty to the Taliban's top man.
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 1, Block C: Gordon G. Chang, Daily Beast & Forbes.com, in re: Chinese want to open a Disneyland in Shanghai: Disney makes inroads into the world’s biggest movie market. In Year One it’ll be an enormous draw, but in the long run t he Chinese consumer market is weak. China has kicked out Google and Apple, but when Bob Iger goes to China, he meets Xi Jinping. Meanwhile China’s richest man is building competing parks. Foreigners may go into China and make a little money, but soon you get kicked out. Minnie Mouse will be seen as threatening and Disney will be a goner. In a Bloomberg interview on Thurs, Iger said he has a film in production right now in China. China has a majority stake in foreign investment, will pressure Hollywood to move its studios to China. Wall Street Journal has recently called the Chinese economy “sputtering.” From Jan to May, 3.9% fixed asset investment; the real driver shd be private but it isn’t. Construction growth underperformed all expectations. State-owned enterprises (SOEs) are buying property all over to let the govt say that the real estate mkt is healthy.
Maybe Mickey will be laid off as Disney offshores movies: http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2016/06/12/will-trump-target-disney-for-making-movies-in-china/#78548cb02c72 ;
http://www.space.com/33140-china-tiangong-1-space-lab-falling-to-earth.html
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 1, Block D: Patrick Tucker, DefenseOne, in re: behavioral analysis of lone wolves. Defense One's Technology Editor Patrick Tucker on the possibilities and limitations of predictive analytics in the case of lone wolf attacks: eight warning behaviors that are best indicators of the means and will to carry out a violent attack like this and how while every event can be predicted with enough data, not every event can be predicted in time to avert tragedy. He writes:
"One day, it may be possible to create an engine that scours all digital information for evidence of the above eight behaviors by one person. Until that happens, merging these disparate pieces of data together to fuel a global, real-time threat screener that can be applied to the population at large will remain impossible for all practical purposes."
Hour Two
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 2, Block A: Devin Nunes, Chairman, House Intelligence Committee, in re: The intell community has been predicting this for a y ear and a half, esp as fighters o east and return and tech improves with encrypted sealed chat rooms, which can’t really be found. Radical jihad all over the globe. Wannabees globally, esp this character, find a way to do it. This attack looks similar to the Paris concert hall – a dark room with loud music, easy to kill many, I fear that these attacks maybe become the norm. The more successful one such attack is, the more copies. I was in Paris a month ago and walked through the steps; they were easy to replicate. In the summer of 2015 I was on your show and warned about this kind of attack – the FBI and other agencies with their hair on fire. Conundrum: how does a free society deal with this? Omar M was removed from the watch list because the FBI tracked down all the leads, decided he was a run-off-the-mil character and removed his name from the watch list. [If culling for cause were not done,] we could have thousands and thousands on a watch list.
The only way to deal with this is to eliminate the fundamental organizations. First, need a US president who acknowledges there’s a problem and doesn't insist there’s no such thing as radical Islam. Fact is, al Qaeda and ISIS are now larger than ever they were before. Europe is figuring this out. The strategy has to be global: incl North Africa and European partners, probably including Russia. These will not happen under this president or this Congress, which itself needs a new Authorization to Use Military Force. We have to design an overall strategy over the long run. It's never been an easy war and won’t be, but you won’t win if you don't start. A battle between which way people shd live: freely or not? Here, cannot simply cut off the head of a nation-state such as Nazi Germany. Obama’s mode of taking out a few leaders here and there doesn't work. Even in Syria and Iraq, we can't win with the way we’ve been fighting this war.
Devin Gerald Nunes, OIH (born October 1, 1973) is the U.S. Representative for California's 22nd congressional district, serving since 2003. He is the twelfth and, at 42 years old, youngest Member of Congress in history to serve as chairman of the United States House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence.
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 2, Block B: David M Drucker, Senior Congressional correspondent, Washington Examiner, and John Fund, NRO, in re: Mr Trump tweeted that he’d warned us about the Orlando shooting, Mrs Clinton coolly dissed him. Clinton politically has d a better day since Trump has broken a the rules on dealing with natl security matter – suggesting that the president knows more than he’s letting on, etc. Clinton gave a policy speech: levels of strategy, her history of working with the GOP after 9/11. Didn't mention Trump, who was only self-referential. The president’s approval rating have gone up; but he did not inspire confidence after Orlando, spoke of gun control and LGBTWD issues and still refused to say the phrase “Islamic terrorism.” Mr Trump was both calculating and visceral. When Americans are attacked, they need a president to acknowledge the problem. Clinton broke from Obama by acknowledging the problem. W=Americans want sober, strong leadership. Donald Trump needs a second act, beyond banning Muslims from entry. He said last week that we’d misconstrued his words. He’s adept at wiggling out of things. Just banning certain people is pretty vague; there cd be something there if he put meat on the bones. He had his agent Roger Stone accuse Clinton of harboring a spy, Huma Abedin.
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 2, Block C: David M Drucker, Senior Congressional correspondent, Washington Examiner, and John Fund, NRO, in re: At the GOP convention here are alternatives to ban-ban-ban. WSJ op-ed: O’Keeffe and Rivkin explore the possibility that committed GOP delegates in fact are not bound to anyone on the first ballot; no state or federal law applies; in fact, the Rules Committee may revise 2012 rules completely in 2026. Trump has so staff, no real income, and has disappointed many, has rejected the Party and its members. Argument against binding delegates on first ballot. May change candidates if Republicans voters turn away from Trump in the coming 35 days. Congresspersons fear that GOP will lose the House, Trump is not raising money, and refuses to use the teleprompter correctly, The Republican National Committee refuses to give delegates name lists to anyone, thus preventing communication. For the last 4o years the RNC has enjoyed treating delegates like cattle; it want s to control the convention hand have a quiet life. Do not want the world o see that the RNC emperor has no clothes, Honchos spooked by Trump’s accusation that the process was rigged. Any move to change horses midstream would give credence to his charge. However, Trump’s endorsement of violence at the convention constitutes a good reason to change candidates. A fine reading of the rules lets delegates do anything they want, but they feel bond to the voters. T a contested convention anything could happen, but this is not a contested convention. It’ll take voters’ displeasure to change. If Trump makes mistakes, people will arrive in Cleveland very nervous and thinking of Plan B.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-and-clinton-and-their-very-different-responses-to-the-orlando-shootings/2016/06/12/fee2b2aa-30c1-11e6-8ff7-7b6c1998b7a0_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_fla-politics-920pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 2, Block D: McKayCoppins, Buzzfeed, & author, The Wilderness: ; in re . . . Voters want above all integrity and honesty; both leading candidates fail. Of 62 groups, Mormons had abysmal — the worst – opinions of the apparent lack of integrity of both candidates.
Hour Three
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 3, Block A: Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: As ISIS proliferates within our borders it’ll be increasingly difficult to find them in advance. Pres Obama still refuses to acknowledge that the root of the problem is jihadist Islamicism, and it can’t be solved by words, only by deeds. . . . Orlando shooter made hajj and went to Saudi Arabia twice, may have been radicalized by the Net./ Gawker: a sensationalist site lost a case against Hulk Hogan in Florida for having posted an explicit video of him. He sued on privacy grounds, the court ruled against Gawker to a degree of bankrupting it. Concern about future lawsuit against press fro investigating illegal business deeds, for example. Esp threatening to a lone blogger of a free-lance journo, having no funds to fight back.
Opinion Journal: Jihad in Orlando Editorial Page Editor Paul Gigot on the deadliest terror attack on U.S. soil since 9/11 and the White House response.
Opinion Journal: Gawker’s Collateral Damage Editorial Page Editor Paul Gigot on the sensationalist website’s bankruptcy and the implications for freedom of the press.
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 3, Block B: Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: Opinion Journal: Republican Delegates Not Legally Bound Citizens in Charge Foundation Board Member Eric O’Keefe on the legality of letting GOP delegates vote their conscience at the upcoming Cleveland convention. Photo credit: Getty Images. Eric O’Keefe in the WASJ today: at every convention there have been delegates who declined to follow the putative binding of commitment, which in fact is not a binding. Mr Rifkin is a Consitutional scholar. The rules “binding” the delegates expire as soon as they get to the convention, They can vote their conscience even despite state laws that purport to bind, since those state laws are extra-Constitutional and irrelevant. Mr Trump threatened violence in Cleveland if he doesn't get what he wants. Is that what we want in a president? The “laws” that pretend to bind are in fact left over from a Democratic mater in the last century.
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 3, Block C: Harry Siegel, New York Daily News and Daily Beast; in re: the farther into the justice system you go, the sadder things get. Doreen Giuliano knows, in the way only a mother can, that her son John Giuca is innocent of the murder he was convicted of nearly 11 years ago. That he was railroaded. She’s spent most everything she has trying to prove that, over many more years than the three hours it took a jury to convict her son. His initial trial is flawed almost beyond belief; years of flagrant, neon-bright lies, including drug addiction and mental illness in persons testifying, yet the judges refuse to overturn previous rulings. Kafka-esque. The DA has railroaded an innocent man; he thinks that’s how is should be, and he won't budge. http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/harry-siegel-kafka-brooklyn-article-1.2669359
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 3, Block D: Justi Glawe, Daily Beast, in re: Chicago’s Justice System Is So Awful that People Spent 218 Years Extra in Jail Too many offenders who can’t afford bail, and not enough public defenders, mean some inmates spend more than 500 days locked up, waiting for trial.
CHICAGO — Inmates at the Cook County Jail served more than 200 years’ worth of unnecessary time behind bars last year by dint of an overworked criminal justice system. While the killing of Laquan McDonald by a cop and the accompanying Justice Department investigation of the Chicago Police Department have drawn much attention in Chicago, the flood of problems inundating the Cook County Jail have received scant attention.
The wait for a case to reach conviction can be so long that many of the jail’s inmates serve more time in Cook County than they are eventually sentenced to spend in prison, what’s known as “dead days.” For instance, if an inmate is convicted to 100 days in state prison, and spends 300 days in Cook County waiting for their case to reach conviction, they will have served 200 dead days.
Last year, inmates served 79,726 dead days at a cost of $143 per person per day in 2015. In other words, people spent 218 years’ worth of unnecessary time in jail at a cost of $11 million to taxpayers.
Sheriff Tom Dart’s office, which runs the facility, is making efforts to address the problem but its task is monumental. With an average daily population of 9,000, the jail is only slightly smaller than Rikers Island in New York, a city twice as populous as all of Cook County.
Hour Four
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 4, Block A: Muhamed Sabry, free-lance journalist, in re: 'Sinai Province' continues targeting civilians in North Sinai Three civilians were killed on Saturday evening in North Sinai by militants believed to belong to Islamic State (IS) affiliate ”Sinai Province” . . .
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 4, Block B: Muhamed Sabry, free-lance journalist, in re: Islamic State Attacks in the Sinai Peninsula Are Forcing Western ... A decades-old peacekeeping operation may be threatened thanks to a raft of violence caused by Islamic State-linked groups in the Sinai . . .
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 4, Block C: David H Grimm, Online News Editor of Science, 7 author, Citizen Canine: Our Evolving Relationship with Cats and Dogs; in re: Science 03 Jun 2016: Vol. 352, Issue 6290, pp. 1153-1154. Dogs may have been domesticated more than once
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/352/6290/1153.full ; Genomic and archaeological evidence suggest a dual origin of domestic dogs
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/352/6290/1228.full
Monday 13 June 2016 / Hour 4, Block D: Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence. in re: http://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-to-acquire-linkedin-in-deal-valued-at-26-2-billion-1465821523
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